" title="Spartans Weblog">Spartans Weblog

A blog about Michigan State basketball and tempo-free statistics

Archive for the 'stats analysis' Category

Scoring from the charity stripe during the Izzo era

kj on Aug 20th 2008

Back in March, when Witless Chum and Hubert suggested I spend some of the offseason looking at MSU’s historical tempo-free statistical trends, it seemed like a great idea.  Since then, though, I’ve realized:
(1) It’s a lot of work compared to other kids of blog posts.
and
(2) It doesn’t seem to generate a lot of discussion.
I will [...]

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MSU historical trends: Field goal shooting

kj on Aug 12th 2008

I’m finally picking back up on our series on Michigan State’s statistical trends over the last 12 years.  I’m going to try to make these a little simpler going forward, so that the prospects of doing each post aren’t so daunting (and hence procrastination-inducing).
Today we’ll look at MSU’s field goal shooting percentages.  (The last entry [...]

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Sneak Preview: Historical field goal shooting tendencies

kj on Jul 30th 2008

The graph below shows the percentage of MSU’s field goal attempts taken from 3-point range for each of the last 12 seasons.  This is a manually-constructed chart, as statsheet.com doesn’t track this particular number.

Bullet point review:

MSU ranked in the bottom ten nationally in 3-point attempts as a percentage of field goal attempts this past season.  [...]

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Have we always turned the ball over this much?

kj on Jul 17th 2008

Thursday Links
Good news for those of us that will be driving down to the MSU-UNC game at Ford Field after work on Wednesday, December 3: The start time is 9:15, so we’ll have extra time to get down there.  The game will be broadcast on ESPN.  The other top-notch match-up is Duke-Purdue.  That game will [...]

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Drew Neitzel: Present and Past

kj on Jul 15th 2008

The Timberwolves’ summer league team played its first game last night.  Neitzel scored 10 points on 4-5 FG shooting (all 2-pointers), including 2-2 on 3-pointers, in 14 minutes.  On the downside, he had zero assists and turned the ball over two times.
Someone named Pooh Jeter, from St. Vincent College the University of Portland, was apparently [...]

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Bonus scatter plots: Wisconsin and Purdue

kj on Jul 14th 2008

To get a better sense how individual offensive ratings and usage percentages fit together, here are scatter plots for the top two teams in the Big Ten this past season.  Note that the vertical axis is recalibrated based on the approximate average team offensive efficiency figure for both teams (108.9 for Wisconsin; 105.0 for Purdue).

The [...]

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Putting “Basketball on Paper” to work

kj on Jul 11th 2008

Having read through all 350+ pages of “Basketball on Paper,” I thought I should try to put a little of what I learned to use.  Let’s take a look at MSU’s individual offensive rating and usage rates.  Both these stats are available at kenpom.com.
Offensive rating is basically an attempt to use all the individual basketball [...]

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