" title="Spartans Weblog">Spartans Weblog

A statistical look at Michigan State basketball, with a dash of football talk


Monday Night Links: Big Ten-ACC Challenge Edition

Posted by kj on Monday, December 1st, 2008

Rankings Update

  • 2009 NCAA Men’s Basketball Rankings (Dec. 1)
    MSU drops to 13th in the AP poll and 12th in the coaches’ poll.  A larger fall could be justified.  Purdue is only other Big Ten team ranked in AP poll (at #9).  Four of first 11 teams under “Others Receiving Votes” are Big Ten teams: Wisconsin, Ohio State, Michigan, Illinois.
  • Jeff Sagarin NCAA basketball ratings
    Still relying partially on data from last season.  MSU at #21; probably closer to reality at the moment.

Goran Suton Updates

  • The latest knees news
    Joe Rexrode.  Suton practiced today in a limited manner; he plans to suit up Wednesday night and wants to play (but see next link).   No swelling in knee(s) for Delvon Roe.  Only 15,000-20,000 tickets sold for Wednesday night’s game (Ticketmaster link).
  • Spartans preparing for UNC’s best
    Andy Katz.  Izzo on Suton: “He hasn’t practiced in two weeks and he couldn’t play [Sunday], so I can’t see how he could play in a game like that.”

Big Ten-ACC Challenge

The opening game in the Big Ten-ACC Challenge ended with a flourish, as Wisconsin edged Virginia Tech 74-72.  Tech closed a 7-point lead in the final 70 seconds to tie the game with 7 seconds left, only to see Trevon Hughes hit a floater from the free-throw line with less than a second left.  The two teams combined to hit 23 of 33 three-point attempts.

Challenge-related links:

Looking at projected scoring margins based on the current Sagarin ratings, the ACC is (not surprisingly) a heavy favorite to win the challenge once again.  Here are the projections:

  • Miami over Ohio State by 7.5.
  • Boston College over Iowa by 3.5.
  • Illinois over Clemson 2.5.
  • Duke over Purdue by 1.5.
  • Minnesota over Virginia by 10.0.
  • Wake Forest over Indiana by 14.5.
  • Maryland over Michigan by 5.0.
  • Georgia Tech over Penn State by 6.5.
  • North Carolina over Michigan State by 9.5 (not accounting for any home court advantage).
  • Northwestern over Florida State by 3.0.

The home team is favored in every game except Duke-Purdue and UNC-MSU.  If these projected results held, coupled with Wisconsin’s win tonight, the result would be a 7-4 ACC win.  The MSU game is actually the second-least favorable match-up for the Big Ten, though, so the possibility exists of a couple upsets leading to the Big Ten squeaking out its first ever win in the challenge.

Other Assorted Links

Filed in links, rankings update2 responses so far

2 Responses to “Monday Night Links: Big Ten-ACC Challenge Edition”

  1. Andrewon 01 Dec 2008 at 10:41 pm 1

    Not shocked by the low ticket sales. Maybe that game comes close to selling out on a Saturday afternoon but the day/time combo is horrible

  2. Moothekowon 02 Dec 2008 at 1:29 pm 2

    Hah… tickets are now half-off:
    http://www.ticketmaster.com/promo/x3j4bp

    You think it would have occured to someone that “hey – maybe having this on a Wednesday night wouldn’t be a time that 40,000 (or however many people the place can hold) people will show up to”…