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A statistical look at Michigan State basketball, with a dash of football talk


Step right up and win a t-shirt

Posted by kj on Sunday, March 9th, 2008

A week from now, we’ll all be poring over NCAA Tournament brackets making prognostications about teams like Davidson, VCU, Drake, Robert Morris, Baylor, and Portland State.  Some of these teams we’ve barely heard of, let alone watched this season.

So, I thought, why not get the prognostications started a week earlier this year, and make them about the teams we’ve all been watching regularly for the last 10 weeks?

The Spartans Weblog is pleased therefore to announce the First Annual and World’s Only (As Far As We Know) Big Ten Tournament Bracket Contest.

The winner of the contest will win a free MSU 300 t-shirt made by richrobots.  (Click on the link at the top of the right-hand column, or this previous post, for more details.)

The BTT bracket is now finalized.  To submit an entry in the contest, post a comment to this blog post.  Include your pick for the winner of each of the 10 games of the tournament.  Scoring will be as follows:

  • Round 1 winners (3): 1 point each
  • Semi-finalists (4): 2 points each
  • Finalists (2): 4 points each
  • Champion (1): 8 points
  • Total points available: 27

In keeping with the tempo-free statistics bent of this blog, the tie-breaker will be the number of possessions in the final game of the tournament.  That figure will be calculated according to the Big Ten Wonk formula, averaged for the two teams in the final and rounded to the nearest whole number.  For the less statistically-inclined, go ahead and pick a random number between 55 and 75.

Here’s an example of a contest entry, based on the assumption of the higher seed winning each game:

  • Game 1: Iowa
  • Game 2: Penn St.
  • Game 3: Minnesota
  • Game 4: Wisconsin
  • Game 5: MSU
  • Game 6: Purdue
  • Game 7: Indiana
  • Game 8: Wisconsin
  • Game 9: Purdue
  • Game 10: Wisconsin
  • Tie-breaker: 65 possessions

(Feel free to drop the “Game” on each line to save time, but please include the numbers.)

Legal boilerplate:

  • All entries must be received by noon on Thursday (before the tip-off of Game 1) to be valid.
  • In the case of a tie between one or more contestants in both contest points and the number of possessions in the final, the winner will be determined by coin-flip or other random mechanism determined by the Spartans Weblog.
  • The prize for the contest winner consists of one MSU 300 richrobots t-shirt (men’s or women’s fit) and associated shipping/tax costs for United State residents.  No substitutions.
  • Any non-MSU fans who might happen to be readers of this blog may enter the contest but, if they win, must either (1) forfeit the prize to the next highest finisher or (2) sign an affidavit swearing to wear the t-shirt during at least four MSU basketball games next season.
  • The Spartans Weblog is the final authority regarding interpretation of the contest rules and determination of the winner.

Let’s see who can find the right combination of statistical analysis, gut intuition, and good old-fashioned luck and become the most fashionable Spartan fan on their block . . .

Filed in big ten, contest30 responses so far

30 Responses to “Step right up and win a t-shirt”

  1. spartanproduceron 09 Mar 2008 at 8:33 pm 1

    do I get a prize for being first to enter?? oh well, good idea anyway, so here’s my best guess (and in anything involving predictions of this year’s MSU team it truly is a guess)

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Illinois
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: Indiana
    Game 8: MSU
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: Purdue

    tiebreaker: possessions 61

  2. BTon 09 Mar 2008 at 9:05 pm 2

    Oh, I am SO in … can’t wait to wear that Sparta t-shirt around the UW campus. (“This is madness!” “No, this … is … MADTOWN!!!!!!!”) But seriously, I’ll have no problem wearing it during four Spartan games next year … has Izzo confirmed the date with Western Delaware State yet?

    1: Iowa
    2: Illinois
    3: Minnesota
    4: Wisconsin
    5: Ohio State (hey, on a Spartan blog, that’s a big point differential for me!)
    6: Purdue
    7: Indiana (verrrry tempting to pick the upset here, but it should be a home crowd for the Hoosiers)
    8: Wisconsin
    9: Purdue
    10: Wisconsin
    tempo-free: 67

  3. markvon 10 Mar 2008 at 4:15 am 3

    1. Michigan
    2. Illinois
    3. Northwestern
    4. Wisconsin
    5. MSU
    6. Purdue
    7. Northwestern
    8. MSU
    9. Purdue
    10. Purdue
    possessions:68

    No, i’m not a Northwestern alum. Go green!

  4. TMadison25on 10 Mar 2008 at 6:58 am 4

    1. Michigan
    2. Illinois
    3. Minnesota
    4. Wisconsin
    5. MSU
    6. Illinois
    7. Minnesota
    8. MSU
    9. Minnesota
    10. MSU

  5. GBBoundon 10 Mar 2008 at 7:29 am 5

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Illinois
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: Minnesota
    Game 8: MSU
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: MSU
    Possessions: 63

  6. Mrs. Spartans weblogon 10 Mar 2008 at 7:54 am 6

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Penn State
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: Minnesota
    Game 8: MSU
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: Purdue
    Possessions: 68

  7. Your Sisteron 10 Mar 2008 at 8:07 am 7

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Illinois
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: Indiana
    Game 8: MSU
    Game 9: Indiana
    Game 10: MSU
    Possessions: 66

  8. TMadison25on 10 Mar 2008 at 8:09 am 8

    tiebreaker: 70

  9. Kellyon 10 Mar 2008 at 8:23 am 9

    1: Iowa
    2: Illinois
    3: Minnesota
    4: Wisconsin
    5: MSU
    6: Purdue
    7: Indiana
    8: MSU
    9: Purdue
    10: MSU

    Possessions: 64

  10. Spartalyticalon 10 Mar 2008 at 8:26 am 10

    Game 01: Michigan
    Game 02: Penn State
    Game 03: Minnesota
    Game 04: Wisconsin
    Game 05: Michigan State
    Game 06: Purdue
    Game 07: Indiana
    Game 08: Wisconsin
    Game 09: Purdue
    Game 10: Purdue

    Game 10 Possessions: 67

  11. Devinon 10 Mar 2008 at 10:47 am 11

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Illinois
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Illinois
    Game 7: Indiana
    Game 8: MSU
    Game 9: Indiana
    Game 10: Indiana
    Possessions: 62

    Obviously, I’m a Hoosier fan, but I solemnly swear that if I win (no danger of it, really) to wear the MSU t-shirt for four MSU games next season. However, they just won’t be Indiana-MSU games.

  12. kjon 10 Mar 2008 at 10:59 am 12

    I may have to add the provision that the 4 MSU games be nationally-televised games. :)

    Happy to have participation from elsewhere in the Big Ten blogosphere.

  13. Huberton 10 Mar 2008 at 12:10 pm 13

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Illinois
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: minnesota
    Game 8: MSU
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: Purdue
    Possessions: 61

  14. Nate in Chicagoon 10 Mar 2008 at 1:08 pm 14

    Game 1: Michigan
    Game 2: PSU
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: IU
    Game 8: Wisc.
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: Wisc.
    Possessions: 64

  15. Daveon 10 Mar 2008 at 3:22 pm 15

    Game 1: Mich
    Game 2: Ill
    Game 3: Minn
    Game 4: Wisc
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Pur
    Game 7: Ind
    Game 8: MSU
    Game 9: Pur
    Game 10: MSU

    Possessions: 67

  16. alamarandon 10 Mar 2008 at 7:06 pm 16

    1. Iowa
    2. Penn st
    3. Minn
    4. Wisc
    5. MSU
    6. Purdue
    7. Ind
    8. MSU
    9. Ind.
    10.MSU

    Possessions: 67

  17. wifeofaspartanon 11 Mar 2008 at 7:25 am 17

    1. Iowa
    2. Illinois
    3. Minn
    4. Wisc
    5. MSU
    6. Purdue
    7. Minn
    8. MSU
    9. purdue
    10. MSU

    possessions: 59

  18. Bradon 11 Mar 2008 at 9:37 pm 18

    My Picks:

    Game 1 – Iowa
    Game 2 – Illinois
    Game 3 – Minnesota

    Game 4 – Wisconsin
    Game 5 – Michigan State
    Game 6 – Purdue
    Game 7 – Indiana

    Game 8 – Michigan State
    Game 9 – Indiana

    Champ – Indiana

    TieBreak = 62 possessions

    Give me that shirt baby!! (or actually give that shirt to the next highest bidder baby!!)

  19. NorthernSpartyon 11 Mar 2008 at 10:04 pm 19

    1: Iowa
    2: Illinois
    3: Minnesota
    4: Wisconsin
    5: MSU
    6: Purdue
    7: Indiana
    8: MSU
    9: IU
    10: MSU

    Possessions: 63

  20. Joshua D.on 12 Mar 2008 at 11:28 am 20

    1:Michigan
    2:Illinois
    3:Minnesota
    4:Wisconsin
    5:MSU
    6:Purdue
    7:Indiana
    8:Wisconsin
    9:Purdue
    10:Wisconsin

    Possessions: 59

  21. DMPon 12 Mar 2008 at 11:30 am 21

    I thought I had a real gamblers’ bracket going, but seeing the posts I can see there are other faithfuls here with me:
    1 Mich
    2 Ill
    3 Minn
    4 Wis
    5 MSU
    6 Per
    7 Minn
    8 MSU
    9 Per
    10 MSU

  22. DMPon 12 Mar 2008 at 11:33 am 22

    Oops, sorry, here is my re-entry including the tie-breaker:
    1 Mich
    2 Ill
    3 Minn
    4 Wis
    5 MSU
    6 Per
    7 Minn
    8 MSU
    9 Per
    10 MSU

    Possessions: 65

  23. Nickon 12 Mar 2008 at 11:59 am 23

    Game 1: Michigan
    Game 2: Illinois
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: Indiana
    Game 8: Wisconsin
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: Wisconsin

    tiebreaker: 64

  24. MSon 12 Mar 2008 at 9:35 pm 24

    Thanks for the contest!

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Illinois
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: MSU
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: Indiana
    Game 8: MSU
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: Purdue

    Tiebreaker: 63

    I hate to pick Purdue, but the ugly home win against the Boilermakers without Hummel gives an edge to Purdue at Conseco. Still, Go Spartans!

  25. Opieon 13 Mar 2008 at 7:02 am 25

    Go Spartans ! Time to Krank it up !

    Game 1 Iowa
    Game 2 Penn State
    Game 3 Gophers
    Game 4 Wisconsin
    Game 5 Sparty gets Revenge
    Game 6 Baby Boilers
    Game 7 Indiana
    Game 8 Spartans again win on a neutral Court
    Game 9 Good Game predicted: Indiana Prevails.
    Game 10 Spartans Win Championship !!

    Spartans Drew, Suton, and the Fab Freshman hit their stride going into March Madness.

  26. Opieon 13 Mar 2008 at 7:05 am 26

    Oh yeah.. Tiebreaker: 64

  27. TheESon 13 Mar 2008 at 9:31 am 27

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Joe Pa
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: Sparty
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: Minnesota
    Game 8: Sparty
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: Sparty

    tiebreaker: 56

  28. Gary Robinsonon 13 Mar 2008 at 11:03 am 28

    Game 1: Iowa
    Game 2: Penn State
    Game 3: Minnesota
    Game 4: Wisconsin
    Game 5: Michigan State
    Game 6: Purdue
    Game 7: Indiana
    Game 8: Michigan State
    Game 9: Purdue
    Game 10: Purdue

  29. Gary Robinsonon 13 Mar 2008 at 11:04 am 29

    Sorry, forgot the tiebreaker.

    Possessions: 58

  30. [...] Same rules as last year: [...]